- Pair bottomed at a low of 0.8375 and then recovered above 0.8400 but holds daily losses.
- US August NFPs came in lower than expected, following this weak labor market data trend.
- Investors might bet on a bigger cut in September from the Fed.
On Friday, the USD/CHF fell to a daily low of 0.8375 and then recovered back above 0.8400. The upside, however, is limited as the US reported weak labor market figures.
The US Dollar’s appeal diminished after the release of a lower-than-expected NFP report for August, which showed the creation of 142,000 new jobs, falling short of the 160,000 forecast but surpassing July’s revised figure of 89,000. The Unemployment Rate decreased as anticipated, moving from 4.3% to 4.2%. Additionally, Average Hourly Earnings increased by 3.8% year-over-year, exceeding expectations.
Following the data, based on the CME FedWatch tool, the likelihood of a 0.50% rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) at its September 18 meeting remained steady at around 40%, but what it a done deal is that the easing cycle will start in that month, with a 25 bps cut. Incoming data will justify or not a bigger cut.
USD/CHF Technical Outlook
The outlook for USD/CHF is neutral to bearish as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers deep in negative terrain but with a flat slope, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing flat green bars, further supporting the neutral outlook for the pair. Overall, the bias is still tilted to the downside as the pair hovers below its 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs).
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
